By Adam Geller
Sipprelle leads 46%-32% among self identified Independent/unaffiliated voters.
Among those who identify themselves as the most likely to turn out, Sipprelle leads 47%-41%.
Among voters who have heard of both candidates, Sipprelle leads 44%-42%.
Among voters who have formed an opinion of both candidates, Sipprelle leads 52%-40%.
New Jersey Governor Chris Christie has a very strong image in this district, with a 60% favorable rating and a 34% unfavorable.
Among the voters who are favorable to the Governor, Sipprelle leads Holt 66%-23%.
The generic ballot shows a five point GOP advantage, as the generic Republican leads the generic Democrat 45%-40%.
As undecided voters become late deciders this weekend and early next week, we expect the race to continue to be tight, with turnout becoming the final, crucial determining factor. But if current turnout holds and Republicans continue to exhibit an enthusiasm advantage in this district, we give the edge to Sipprelle.
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