NJ Sandy planning moves forward on local level; experts say regional approach needed

NJ Sandy planning moves forward on local level; experts say regional approach needed (via NJ.com)

While trudging through the ongoing rebuilding from Hurricane Sandy, coastal communities pounded by the devastating storm are trying to form long-term strategies for addressing a wide-range of recovery needs with a finite amount of money. At the same…

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Posted: April 18th, 2014 | Author: | Filed under: Superstorm Sandy | Tags: , , , | No Comments »

Bookerism of the day

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Posted: April 18th, 2014 | Author: | Filed under: 2014 U.S. Senate race, Cory Booker | Tags: , , , | 2 Comments »

Bookerism of the day

minor myers

Posted: April 17th, 2014 | Author: | Filed under: 2014 U.S. Senate race, Cory Booker | Tags: , , , | No Comments »

Patrick Murray: Mark Magyar mischaracterized his analysis

Magyar admits mistake, promises to fix it but doesn’t

By Art Gallagher, artvg@aol.com

Monmouth University pollster Patrick Murray responded to my post this morning, Patrick Murray is emphatic that his next poll will be negative for Christie, about his quote in Mark Magyar’s anti-Chistie spin piece on NJSpotlight with an email asserting that his analysis was mischaracteriszed.

Patrick Murray

Patrick Murray

Murray provided an email exchange between himself and Magyar wherein Magyar admits his mistake and promises to fix it.

Murray said:

My assessment of what is likely to happen to public opinion going forward was based on an analysis of the underlying dynamics of my own poll released on April 2 — specifically the public’s underlying initial skepticism of the Mastro report was in my own poll and my analysis of potential movement in that opinion.  Mark, by his own admission, mischaracterized my analysis, which was based on actual public opinion data that I have collected and analyzed.

In the NJSpotlight piece, Magyar quoted Murray as follows:

Quinnipiac Poll released last week showed that 56 percent of New Jerseyans regarded the report as a “whitewash” and only 36 percent believed it to be a “legitimate investigation.” Even more ominously, 65 percent of voters knew of the Hoboken case, and 57 percent of that group believe Zimmer’s allegation that the Christie administration improperly withheld Sandy aid from her city because she refused to support the Rockefeller Group development.

Murray said he expected to see similar results in his next Monmouth Poll. “It will be negative. This is not going to be positive,” Murray stated emphatically, asserting that the controversy over the Mastro report clearly resonated with voters. “The question now with Christie is, ‘Have we hit a floor where a certain percentage of people will defend him no matter what, and everyone else will attack him?’”

Murray corrected Magyar in a email at 9;32 this morning:

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Posted: April 16th, 2014 | Author: | Filed under: Bridgegate, Chris Christie, Department of Community Affairs, Kim Guadagno, Monmouth University Poll, Patrick Murray | Tags: , , , , , , , , , | 2 Comments »

Patrick Murray is emphatic that his next poll will be negative for Christie

By Art Gallagher, artvg@aol.com

UPDATE 4:15PM:  Murray says Magyar/NJSpotlight mischaracterised his analysis.  Read the next chapter here.

Monmouth University pollster Patrick Murray already knows that his next poll about Bridgegate and the Mastro Report, will have an negative outcome for Governor Chris Christie.

Murray is quoted by Mark Magyar in a NJSpotlight piece posted this morning saying emphatically that his next poll will have negative results.

“The Mastro report raised more questions than it answered about what is going on in the Christie administration,” Patrick Murray, director of the Monmouth University Polling Institute, noted. “Now, the release of the memos has raised even more questions, including questions about the credibility of the Mastro report itself.”

Murray said he could not imagine what Christie and his top advisers were thinking when they settled on their current legal and political strategy. “Every time they put something out, they undercut their credibility,” he said. “Everything they do provides fodder that keeps this investigation alive and keeps this story alive. The report was overly protective of the governor, and now everyone is looking through the memos to see what the report left out. Nothing gets settled, everything looks worse.”

A Quinnipiac Poll released last week showed that 56 percent of New Jerseyans regarded the report as a “whitewash” and only 36 percent believed it to be a “legitimate investigation.” Even more ominously, 65 percent of voters knew of the Hoboken case, and 57 percent of that group believe Zimmer’s allegation that the Christie administration improperly withheld Sandy aid from her city because she refused to support the Rockefeller Group development.

Murray said he expected to see similar results in his next Monmouth Poll. “It will be negative. This is not going to be positive,” Murray stated emphatically, asserting that the controversy over the Mastro report clearly resonated with voters. “The question now with Christie is, ‘Have we hit a floor where a certain percentage of people will defend him no matter what, and everyone else will attack him?’”  (emphasis added)

 

IMG_9512Murray enjoys a well-earned reputation for producing polls that most accurately match the results of elections in New Jersey.  However, his declaration of a poll’s results before he’s asked a question raises serious questions about his credibility as a political scientist and the perceived “independence” of his analysis.

In fairness I should point out that it is possible that Murray already conducted his survey and hasn’t reported the results yet.

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Posted: April 16th, 2014 | Author: | Filed under: 2016 Presidential Politics, Bridgegate, Chris Christie, Dawn Zimmer, Hoboken, Monmouth University Poll, NJ Media, Patrick Murray | Tags: , , , , , , , | 1 Comment »

Bookerism of the day

Bookerism

Posted: April 16th, 2014 | Author: | Filed under: 2014 U.S. Senate race, Cory Booker | Tags: , , , | No Comments »

James M. Coleman, Jr, Rest in Peace

James M. Coleman, Jr. 1924-2014. photo courtesy Asbury Park High School Distinguished Alumni Hall of Fame

James M. Coleman, Jr. 1924-2014.
photo courtesy Asbury Park High School Distinguished Alumni Hall of Fame

James M. Coleman, Jr, 90, a native of Asbury Park and life long public servant to the people of Monmouth County and New Jersey, passed away on Saturday, April 12, in Rockville Centre, NY.

Born in Long Branch on February 17, 1924, “Chippy” was a student-athlete at Asbury Park High School, Class of 1942, and at Dartmouth College where in played in the NCAA basketball tournament as a freshman in 1943.  He interrupted his college career to serve in the U.S. Army Air Forces with the 461st Bombardment Group in Italy.

Chippy returned to Dartmouth in 1945 and played basketball for three more years.  He was named All League in 1945-46 and Team Captain from 1945-1948.

Upon graduation he enrolled in Cornell Law School and received his law degree in 1951.  He returned to Asbury Park and joined the law firm Patterson, Cooper & Coleman.

Elected to the Asbury Park City Council in 1957, Chippy served in that position until 1965.  He served in the Assembly for three terms, serving as Chairman of the Joint Budget and Appropriations Committee.  While in the Assembly he worked with his college Thomas Kean, who later became governor, on creating the framework of the New Jersey State Lottery.

Coleman served as Monmouth County Prosecutor from 1972-1977.  While prosecutor, President Richard M. Nixon appointed him to a term year term on the Commission on Review of the National Policy on Gambling.   From 1977-1980 he served in the office of NJ Legislative Reviser of Statutes.

Governor Brendan Byrne appointed Coleman to the Superior Court bench in 1980.  He served as a Judge on Monmouth County Juvenile and Domestic Relations Court until his retirement in 1987.

He remained active in public service in following years, serving from 1998 to 2007 on the Joint Legislative Committee on Ethical Standards. He was elected to the Shore Athletic Club Hall of Fame and the Jersey Shore Sports Hall of Fame in 2001 and to the Asbury Park High School Hall of Fame in 2003.

Chippy’s friends remember him for his story telling, his sense of humor, his wise council and for being a down to earth gentleman.

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Posted: April 14th, 2014 | Author: | Filed under: Asbury Park, Monmouth County | Tags: , | 1 Comment »

Christie to hammer NJ Assembly on expiration of property tax law

Christie to hammer NJ Assembly on expiration of property tax law (via NJ.com)

TRENTON — Gov. Chris Christie plans to go after Assembly Democrats this morning for their refusal to renew a law that reduced compensation for many police and firefighters. Christie has an 11a.m. press conference scheduled at Trenton’s war memorial…

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Posted: April 14th, 2014 | Author: | Filed under: Chris Christie, Property Tax Tool Kit, Property Taxes | Tags: , , | No Comments »

Monmouth County Freeholders Adopt Budget With Zero Tax Increase

Freeholder Director Lillian G. Burry Photo by Vinnie Amessé © www.amessephoto.com

Freeholder Director Lillian G. Burry

For the fourth straight year, the Monmouth County Board of Chosen Freeholders adopted a county budget with no tax increase.

At their meeting April 10 meeting the Freeholder Board, comprised of 5 Republicans, adopted $480.9 million budget, a $100,000 spending reduction from last year’s budget.  The amount raised through property taxes is $302,475,000, the same amount raised every year since 2010.

“It is a challenge every year to try to cut spending without impacting the level of services our taxpayers have come to expect,” said Freeholder Lillian G. Burry. “This process is not something that is done in haste. This budget reflects the months of work that has gotten us to a flat tax rate for the fourth year in a row.”

“This year, an internal budget subcommittee met with each department to look for duplicative services and identify areas for consolidation and savings,” said Freeholder Deputy Director Gary J. Rich, Sr., liaison to the Finance Department. “This process has yielded savings in the areas of information technology, finance, human resources, building maintenance and legal services.”

Monmouth County relies less on taxes than most other New Jersey counties. As a percentage of the overall budget, Monmouth County’s taxes comprise 62 percent of the total budget, historically behind Union, Hudson and Essex counties.

“The department heads deserve a lot of credit for their hard work in paring down the budget,” said Rich. “This is the fifth year in which we asked for concessions from the departments and, as a result, this is the fourth year in which the tax levy has remained the same.”

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Posted: April 14th, 2014 | Author: | Filed under: Monmouth County, Monmouth County Board of Freeholders | Tags: , , , , , , , , , | 2 Comments »

Seastreak and NJDOT providing relief for Pulaski Skyway commuters

The northbound lanes of the Pulaski Skyway are closed for two years as the bridge is reconstructed.  The anticipated nightmare for commuters starts this morning.

file photo by Art Gallagher

file photo by Art Gallaghernightmare for commuters starts today.

Seastreak, LLC, and the New Jersey Department of Transportation have partnered to provide a pleasant alternative for Central Jersey commuters to get to Hoboken or Jersey City and home again daily.

Seastreak  has two morning departures, 5:45 and 7:45, from the Atlantic Highlands Marina with stops at Paulus Hook in Jersey City and Hoboken.  There are three returning departures originating in Hoboken at 3:15 pm, 5:15 pm and 7:15 PM.  The fare for a one-way trip to or from either Hudson County terminal and Atlantic Highlands is $12. $5 gets you a ride to or from Jersey City and Hoboken.

The subsidized fare is a bargain.  Seastreak’s one-way fare to Manhattan is $26.  The fare for a trip on a NJTransit train from Middletown to Hoboken is $14.25, and the train takes longer.

The complete schedule can be viewed here.

Posted: April 14th, 2014 | Author: | Filed under: NJ DOT, Pulaski Skyway, Seastreak Ferry | Tags: , , , , , , | No Comments »