If turnout at pre-election rallies are an indicator of voter turnout, Anna Little will be the Congresswoman from the 6th district of New Jersey during the 112th Congress.
Last night at the Shore Casino in Atlantic Highlands some 300 Republicans, Tea Partiers and Independents rallied with Little, the Monmouth County ticket of Sheriff Shaun Golden, Freeholder candidates Rob Clifton and Tom Arnone and the Atlantic Highlands Council ticket of Lou Fligorand Jake Hoffman. Across the hall, 30 people (a generous estimate) mingled with Frank Palloneand the Monmouth County and Atlantic Highlands Democratric candidates.
300 are expected again tonight for the GOP team at Bachstadt’s in Middletown with Governor Christie. If the Monmouth Democrats are rallying tonight they won’t have a headliner. Presidents Obama and Clinton are elsewhere. Corzine wasn’t invited.
Turnout will be the key to victory. All signs point to a broken glass turnout for Republicans, i.e. Republican voters will crawl through broken glass to vote. There are no signs of Democratic voters being so motivated.
I’ve been worried about Plainfield where Democrats outnumber Republicans 12-1. Plainfield has been part of the district since the last census in 2000. Pallone has ignored it until very recently. There is no passion for Pallone in Plainfield.
Reading the popular blog Plainfield Today, I learned that the Democrats are divided there after a contentious primary where the “New Democrats” defeated the establishment lead by Assemblyman Jerry Green for the local offices. There is no competitive local race to boost turnout in Plainfield. That race was won in June and the anti-establishment sentiment prevailed. While there is reason to be cautiously optimistic about Plainfield, I still praying for a snow storm there and only there.
In Middlesex County, the Republicans are running their best campaign in memory. They have a legitimate shot of cracking the Democratic stronghold in that county which will boost both Little and NJ-12 candidate Scott Sipprelle.
Murray Sabrin says that if Little wins the GOP will pick up 100 seats in the House. I hope that happens. However, and I could be wrong, but from where I sit Little shocks everybody and defeats Frank Pallone by a larger margin than Scott Sipprelle defeats Rush Holt and by a larger margin than Jon Runyan defeats John Adler. There is no passion for Pallone. There is plenty of passion against Pallone. There is even more passion for Little.
More importantly, turn out the vote. Talk to your friends, families and co-workers. Make it happen.